Monday, November 24, 2014

The Arsenal Crisis (2014 version)

Dear Rob,

I hope this message gets  through to you.
I think the AFTV thing is brilliant, congrats on 2 years . As an Arsenal fan for the past 25 years and counting I wonder if I can get a reasonable balanced judgment of Arsenal and Arsene Wenger amidst the ongoing split between fans.
Fans change from game to game, they were jubilant after beating Galatasaray they had a meltdown after the Swansea loss. The emotion the game requires and the love these people have for Arsenal sometimes makes it hard to see what is really going on.

I’m going to lay down the ultimatums first, then explain everyone of them, so bare with me if this is a bit long.
Here it goes:
·         Arsene Wenger is one of the top 5 managers in the world today. He should at least see out his contract
·         This team is the best team we had ever since Vieira left.
·         This summer Wenger made the biggest mistake of his managerial career, and that was not to sign defensive players.
·         Arsenal are indeed the unluckiest team in the world
·         Ozil will be the true leader of this team soon

Here are the arguments
·         Wenger is easily the best manager in PL, Jose had a better team last year and did nothing with it, finished barely third with shameful exits from all cup competitions. LVG is good, but nowhere close to AW. I hear people criticize Wenger’s tactics every game, every damn loss. Let me ask one thing, if a manager has the same tactics for 17 years and has amazing runs with subpar teams , isn’t that the biggest proof that these tactics are working ? If Wenger leaves he will come back with PSG or Real Madrid or even City and crush Arsenal at the Emirates on way to endless trophies.
That been said, there must be a higher authority Wenger answers to. It’s the system that is wrong at Arsenal.


·         Look at the offensive end of this team, you have Ozil at the 10 spot with Santi as backup, Sanchez on the left, Theo on the right, Welbeck/Giroud up front. A passer with 3 of the quickest players around the PL in front of him. We have two young quality players at the CM spot in Wilshere and Ramsey. With solid backups like Poldi, Campbell and Ox (who would be the star player anywhere else). We have the best English full back in Gibbs (sorry Shaw and Baines)and a very good CB pairing, with our best GK since Lehmann
All this easily leads us to our next point

·         Wenger’s biggest mistake was not signing defensive players. Per is tall and not young, he has been playing non-stop since August 2013. Last season-World Cup-This season, Per played almost every game last year. A good leader and teacher, now is the right time to bring in a protégé . Someone who is 24-25, big and strong (I wanted J.Boateng) can learn from BFG how to be a leader who organizes things from the back, inherit the workethic and slowly pair with Kos. He should’ve also brought in another young defender, a promising 18-19 year old, but this can be delayed till next year, plus Chambers can be that kid.
The even bigger mistake is the DM spot. If you take a look at our younger teams , we do not have an up and coming DM. Again, Chambers cab be converted to DM, Arteta (who’s not a reliable DM) has a couple of years left, and Flamini is not in a good form this year. A world class DM should have been brought in, Wenger has salvaged a promising year by a mistake that he is not punished for! He should at least get a 6 months pay cut that comes out of the ticket prices. (around 5 million pounds) .
Look at this team, a DM is all what it needs. Most of our fans don’t get what a DM does. You hear people say “he sits in front of the back four and protect them” but do you know what that means ??!! It simply means he delays attacks till the whole defensive map is set. He takes extra tasks so CBs don’t have to gamble and move from their set positions. And Arsenal have been unlucky in this regard, no mistake unpunished. Which leads to our next point

·         Arsenal are unlucky, a part of it is the reasons we all know, the unbelievable injuries, the bad refereeing, the tough draw in every competition, the missed chances.. Then there are the things that not a lot of people see. For example, players getting injured at the wrong time, it takes them 3-4 games to get back to form, which is enough for fans to turn them back from hero to zero. Something not a lot of people see is how unlucky we are IN games. Especially defense, the percentage of mistakes that go unpunished for Arsenal has to be the lowest I’ve ever seen. The fact that there’s no DM usually means that the opponent attack is most likely to keep moving, forcing our CBs and FBs to make decision, commit to something in favor of the other, leave the winger to come inside and mark the striker or choose between the striker in the box or the AMF at the edge of the box. Usually, teams are put in this situation 4-5 times a game, it usually leads to conceding one or two goals at most, which wraps the game. We got lucky in most of our draws this season by the way, other than that,  80%-90% of our mistakes were punished. If our CB commits to a striker, you can only watch the CM of the other team play a perfect pass to the AMF at the top of the box, who develops the quickest most accurate shot in the PL at that time and sinks the ball with the perfect power and placement for our keeper to even think about saving it.
I’ll give you an example, Leicester City playing Chelsea, still goal-less in the 2nd half and LCFC now believes it’s just 11 men against 11 men and that they can win this. Chelsea makes 3 mistakes first two are squandered away by wrong passes from LCFC players, however on the 3rd one, David Nugent finds himself breaking towards Chelsea goal, closest defender 3 yards behind him, Nugent shockingly slams the ball into the keeper 16 yards away from the box. After that Chelsea get a goal on a bouncing ball, and it’s back to David vs The Goliath.
Had LCFC been playing Arsenal, the first 2 mistakes would have resulted in a goal at least, the 3rd one would have been a humiliating rabiola lob by Nugent over our keeper and an African dance celebration by the corner flag. Prompting a meltdown.
Add these things to the obvious reason that make Arsenal unlucky and the feeling of doom among us can indeed be justifiable

·         In the Everton match, Ozil controlled the game, Ozil is asking questions nowadays. He is demanding the ball, he is furious when there is no movement, he asks his teammates to step it up. People say the Villa game was Mesut’s finest, I think it was Everton and Galatasaray. The confidence from the manager, the return of injured players and the speed upfront will make Ozil the leader of this team. He gave away an interview a couple of days ago and what the way he is not affected by the media and the way he praises and trusts the team is outstanding. I’ve rarely seen a player handle himself like that.


Things will not get better till we sign players, DM and CB. Even with Arteta at DM this team is good enough for 3rd in PL given the return of injured players. Sanchez, Welbeck, Walcott, Ox, Giroud, Poldi are enough fire power to score against any team. But the defense we have at the moment is not good enough to stop the league’s worst offense (Burnely almost scored against us)  

If we look at the last game against United, Arsenal had nothing to be ashamed of other than finishing. Very good display. United didn’t have a shot at goal until their SECOND goal. It was so unlucky it was almost funny. It was all made possible because of Mikel Arteta’s command of the defensive midfield, which furthermore proves the fact that all we need is a DM who plays like that every game.

I hope I have made myself clear, and provided a balanced view from an Arsenal fan for 25 years and counting

Thanks for taking the time to read this